Oaktree Specialty Lending Stock Performance

OCSL Stock  USD 12.17  0.15  1.22%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.24, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Oaktree Specialty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oaktree Specialty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Oaktree Specialty Lending has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to check Oaktree Specialty's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Oaktree Specialty Lending performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oaktree Specialty Lending has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.65)
Five Day Return
(2.63)
Year To Date Return
(3.77)
Ten Year Return
(28.55)
All Time Return
(66.34)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1299
Payout Ratio
1.3852
Last Split Factor
1:3
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
A Look Ahead Oaktree Specialty Lendings Earnings Forecast
11/17/2025
2
OCSL Q3 2025 Deep Dive Revenue Decline Offset by Improved Credit Quality and Selective Lending
11/19/2025
3
5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Oaktree Specialty Lendings Q3 Earnings Call - Yahoo Finance
11/24/2025
4
Claret Asset Management Corp Purchases 179,563 Shares of Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. OCSL - MarketBeat
12/02/2025
5
Oaktree Specialty Lending Sees Unusually Large Options Volume
12/12/2025
6
Aug Update How analysts rate Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation stock today - moha.gov.vn
12/16/2025
 
Oaktree Specialty dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
8
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation Schedules First Fiscal Quarter Earnings Conference Call for February 4, 2026
01/05/2026
9
Chipmakers Recap What catalysts could drive Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation stock higher - Day Trade Expert Curated Trade Ideas - B Ni V
01/13/2026
10
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Brokerages - MarketBeat
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow78.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities86 M

Oaktree Specialty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,336  in Oaktree Specialty Lending on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (119.00) from holding Oaktree Specialty Lending or give up 8.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Oaktree Specialty Lending is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.089% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Oaktree, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oaktree Specialty is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Oaktree Specialty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Oaktree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.17 90 days 12.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oaktree Specialty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Oaktree Specialty Lending probability density function shows the probability of Oaktree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oaktree Specialty has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oaktree Specialty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oaktree Specialty Lending will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oaktree Specialty Lending has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Oaktree Specialty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oaktree Specialty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oaktree Specialty Lending. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oaktree Specialty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0612.1513.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0013.0914.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6311.7212.81
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.4713.7115.22
Details

Oaktree Specialty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oaktree Specialty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oaktree Specialty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oaktree Specialty Lending, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oaktree Specialty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Oaktree Specialty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oaktree Specialty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oaktree Specialty Lending can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oaktree Specialty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oaktree Specialty is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 31st of December 2025 Oaktree Specialty paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Brokerages - MarketBeat

Oaktree Specialty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oaktree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oaktree Specialty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oaktree Specialty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments79.6 M

Oaktree Specialty Fundamentals Growth

Oaktree Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Oaktree Specialty, and Oaktree Specialty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Oaktree Stock performance.

About Oaktree Specialty Performance

By examining Oaktree Specialty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Oaktree Specialty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Oaktree Specialty is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.03 

Things to note about Oaktree Specialty Lending performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oaktree Specialty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Oaktree Specialty Lending help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oaktree Specialty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oaktree Specialty is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 31st of December 2025 Oaktree Specialty paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Brokerages - MarketBeat
Evaluating Oaktree Specialty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Oaktree Specialty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Oaktree Specialty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Oaktree Specialty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Oaktree Specialty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Oaktree Specialty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Oaktree Specialty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Oaktree Specialty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Oaktree Specialty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Oaktree Specialty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Oaktree Specialty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Oaktree Specialty Lending is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oaktree Specialty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oaktree Specialty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oaktree Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Oaktree Specialty Lending. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oaktree Specialty. Anticipated expansion of Oaktree directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Oaktree Specialty assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
1.75
Earnings Share
0.39
Revenue Per Share
3.68
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Investors evaluate Oaktree Specialty Lending using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Oaktree Specialty's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Oaktree Specialty's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Oaktree Specialty's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Oaktree Specialty should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Oaktree Specialty's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.